lies, damned lies, and statistics
is this really what we want?
Something is rotten in the state of Denmark ~ and in every other country in the world. Something is not right, seriously amiss, and not only are the authorities doing nothing to prevent this dangerous state of affairs, the authorities are the cause of the terrible mess the world finds itself in right now.
A lie can travel around the world and back again while the truth is still lacing up its boots. ~ Mark Twain
Of course I refer to the hysteria surrounding what is commonly referred to as the coronavirus pandemic, which has many people terrified, has destroyed many lives, and has indirectly killed many people by preventing them from receiving urgent medical treatment for many other life-threatening illnesses.
To begin with, on March 23rd I believed what the government told me, and like a good citizen I obeyed the lockdown rules, self-isolated, stayed at home, watched my life go down the toilet…..
Since then I have become increasingly disturbed by the propaganda pumped out by the media, politicians, health officials, et al ~ which says that COVID-19 is the greatest threat faced by humanity since… anything really. And it’s all lies.
I didn’t have to look hard to find the evidence proving that the whole coronavirus pandemic is a pile of bullshit. I will give you just 2 pieces of evidence, and then let you make up your own mind.
- The statistics which say that millions / billions of people have tested positive for COVID-19 are wrong. To begin with, only 0.4% of all those supposed millions tested have actually given a positive result. Read a learned study published by Prof Carl Heneghan BM, BCH, DPLC, a practicing doctor and Professor of Evidence Based Medicine who also states that of every 18 positive results 10 will be false positives. (About 60% of positives are false positives.)
- The mortality for COVID-19 statistics are based on these positive results. To be said to have died from the coronavirus the deceased must have tested positive within the last 28 days ~ and then their death from whatever cause is attributed to COVID-19. So a guy who was given a false positive result within the last month, and is then run down by a truck, is counted as a COVID-19 death.
I make no apologies for saying that the entire coronavirus pandemic panic is a lie.
Do your own research. Stop believing the crap the media, politicians, health officials, et al are shovelling down your throat. Be an intelligent, curious, concerned human being and not one of the sheep.
the BBC no longer gives us the news
like all media the BBC now shovels propaganda
If you want to be a winning gambler, play against someone dumber than you.
As it goes, that is one of only two ways to almost guarantee you will come out ahead in games of chance. All casinos, bookmakers, and on-line gambling sites religiously follow this rule. Think about all the gullible people who go to Las Vegas, most of them set a limit on how much they are prepared to lose, and that’s before they even walk into a casino. After they start hitting the booze, who knows?
Just how dumb is that? Imagine saying I am prepared to stand in a bar tomorrow, and slowly tear up $300, and then set fire to the pieces. Broadly, that’s what you’re doing if you bet against the house in a casino. But, there is one thing you can bet your life on, in the medium and long-term, the house always wins. Always. But that doesn’t matter to gamblers, because they never talk about thow much they’ve lost, only about how much they’ve won. Gamblers are so dumb, and so very sad.
Most people who gamble are as dumb as a doornail, in one very specific way, they gamble. Even otherwise highly intelligent people are dumb when it comes to betting / gambling / playing cards / playing the ponies…
Maybe the most intelligent 10% who gamble have some idea of how it all works, but almost all of them make two mistakes. First, they think there is such a thing as a ‘system’. Second, they think gambling is based on statistics. Both assumptions are completely false.
There is no system in pure games of chance. None whatsoever. A system that guarantees winning at any game of chance is a complete myth. Even consulting a witch and her familiar never works. So, if you think you know how to win at roulette, you’re even dumber than I thought you were.
Statistics cannot predict the future, and betting is all about predicting the future. Statistics only measures the past, and is useless to a gambler unless you are both an odds-player, and a card-counter. Can you remember every card played out of a possible 52, or out of 312? I can’t. If you can you will get thrown out of the casino anyhow.
Anyhow, if you’re that good, perhaps you should be betting at the craps table.
To predict the future you have to know about probability theory. Probability theory is to statistics as putting a man on the moon is to thermodynamics. But, if you know all about random variables, stochastic processes, and quantum mechanics, then you may have a future as a gambler. And, you will still get thrown out of the casino.
At this point you may realise two things; #1. I know about gambling. #2. I think gambling and gamblers are very dumb.
The second way to almost guarantee you will come out ahead in games of chance is to cheat. But, I won’t tell you how to do that either.